Sources: AP · CBS News · PBS NewsHour · NBC News · Times of Israel · Carnegie Endowment for International Peace · Reuters · Iranian state media · CENTCOM · Pentagon · Congressional Research Service

THE DEAL — WHAT IS CONFIRMED

The United States and Iran reached an agreement Sunday June 14 to end the war that began February 28, 2026. Both sides confirmed it. President Trump posted on Truth Social that the deal is complete and authorized the immediate opening of the Strait of Hormuz and removal of the U.S. naval blockade. Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi confirmed on Iranian state media that the immediate and permanent end of the war and all military operations on all fronts including Lebanon would begin Sunday night. Iranian state TV displayed a banner stating the United States was forced to sign an agreement to end the war.

The formal signing ceremony is scheduled for Friday June 19 in Switzerland. The deal followed more than 14 hours of talks in Tehran between Qatari mediators and Iranian officials. Pakistan served as the primary public mediator.

What the deal confirms: immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts. The Strait of Hormuz opens immediately. The U.S. naval blockade ends immediately. The United States will release approximately $25 billion in frozen Iranian assets. The U.S. will impose no new sanctions until a final deal is reached and will waive oil sanctions.

What Iran committed to: not produce or purchase nuclear weapons. Enrich no new uranium until a final deal is concluded. Dilute its highly enriched uranium stockpile — although the exact mechanism for that still needs to be worked out.

What the deal does not resolve: the full terms have not been released. The nuclear mechanism is confirmed as unresolved. The formal signed document comes Friday. Key issues including Iran's nuclear program are expected to be addressed in follow-on negotiations.

What the deal did not achieve: The Times of Israel confirmed that the deal reportedly fails to achieve any of the goals of the war that were set out by the United States and Israel — including eliminating Iran's nuclear weapons program, depleting its ballistic missile stockpile, ending its support for proxy forces, or creating conditions for regime change. Israel was not included in the negotiations.

BEFORE WE GET TO THE COST — THREE THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW

To understand what this deal means you need to understand three things about what existed before it.

WHAT EXISTED UNDER THE OBAMA DEAL — THE JCPOA

In 2015 the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Russia, China, and the European Union negotiated the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action with Iran. Under the JCPOA Iran agreed to reduce its uranium enrichment capacity by two thirds, reduce its enriched uranium stockpile by 97 percent to 300 kilograms, cap enrichment at 3.67 percent purity, and accept continuous IAEA monitoring of all nuclear facilities. Iran's breakout time — how long it would take to build one nuclear bomb — was extended to at least one year. The IAEA confirmed Iran was complying. The Strait of Hormuz was open. Gas was approximately $3.20 nationally.

WHAT TRUMP DID IN 2018

President Trump withdrew the United States from the JCPOA in May 2018 calling it the worst deal ever made. He reimposed comprehensive economic sanctions on Iran. The other signatories remained in the deal. Iran's economy contracted sharply. Iran remained in compliance with the JCPOA for approximately one year after Trump withdrew.

WHAT IRAN DID AFTER THE U.S. WITHDREW

Beginning in 2019 Iran began violating the JCPOA. Iran stated openly it was doing so in retaliation for the U.S. withdrawal and the failure of remaining signatories to deliver promised sanctions relief. Iran exceeded the enrichment limit. Iran exceeded the stockpile limit. Iran installed prohibited centrifuges. Iran reduced IAEA access. By February 2026 Iran had enriched uranium to 60 percent purity — far above the 3.67 percent the JCPOA allowed — with 440.9 kilograms stockpiled. Iran's breakout time had shrunk from one year to approximately two weeks. The IAEA formally declared Iran in breach of its nonproliferation obligations. Diplomacy through Omani intermediaries was still ongoing when the strikes began February 28.

The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace confirmed: the war began while Iran and the United States were negotiating through Omani intermediaries on the nuclear issue. The decision to recommence hostilities in February 2026 had more to do with Tehran's conventional military capabilities and brutal suppression of domestic protests than new developments in the nuclear realm.

THE COST OF THE WAR

13 to 15 American service members were killed, confirmed CENTCOM. 413 to 538 American service members were wounded, confirmed Congressional Research Service. The Pentagon initially disclosed only serious casualties — Reuters and ABC News forced a fuller accounting.

42 U.S. military aircraft were lost or significantly damaged, confirmed Congressional Research Service report May 13, 2026. The losses included four F-15E Strike Eagle fighter jets, one F-35A Lightning II, one A-10 Thunderbolt II, seven KC-135 aerial refueling tankers, one E-3 Sentry surveillance aircraft, two MC-130J special operations aircraft, one HH-60W combat search-and-rescue helicopter, and 24 MQ-9 Reaper drones. Three F-15s were lost in a friendly fire incident. Six crew members died when a KC-135 crashed.

The total cost of the war reached approximately $29 billion, confirmed Pentagon Comptroller Jules Hurst testifying before Congress May 12.

At least 3,468 people were killed in Iran including seven infants, 376 children, and 496 women, confirmed Iranian Ministry of Health. At least 3,696 people were killed in Lebanon. More than 26,500 people were injured in Iran. These figures are from Iranian and Lebanese government sources.

The Strait of Hormuz was closed for more than three months. Gas prices rose to $4.45 nationally. Global shipping was severely disrupted. The economic cost to American households of the Strait closure has not been formally quantified.

IS AMERICA BETTER OFF TODAY THAN THE DAY BEFORE THE WAR STARTED?

NOW

The Strait will be opened.

Gas prices will go down-Exact time frame is unknown.

Amount enriched uranium in Iran’s possession-unknown.

Terror threat level remains high.

WHAT IS THE SAME OR WORSE:

Iran's 440.9 kilograms of enriched uranium at 60 percent purity still exists. The IAEA has had zero access to Iranian nuclear facilities since February 28 and cannot verify the current status of the stockpile. The exact mechanism for diluting that stockpile is still unresolved. The Carnegie Endowment confirmed Iran may have greater desire to reconstitute nuclear capabilities including in clandestine facilities. The decision to go to war while diplomacy was ongoing has reduced the credibility of diplomatic tools going forward. Israel was not included in the negotiations and Israeli strikes on Lebanon continued even as the deal was being finalized Sunday. The nuclear question that the war was ostensibly fought over remains unresolved pending follow-on negotiations with no confirmed deadline.

WHAT THE CONFIRMED DATA SHOWS:

Before the Obama JCPOA Iran had a large and growing nuclear program with a short breakout time. Under the JCPOA Iran's program was constrained, verified, and its breakout time extended to one year. After Trump withdrew from the JCPOA Iran's program grew to its largest and most advanced level in history. After the war Iran's nuclear infrastructure was damaged but its enriched uranium stockpile remains and the IAEA cannot verify its location or status. The new deal commits Iran to not enrich new uranium and to dilute its stockpile — but the mechanism is unresolved and the commitment is a 60-day MOU framework, not a final verified agreement.

Whether that outcome — after 13 American deaths, 500 wounded, 42 aircraft lost, $29 billion spent, and three months of closed Strait — represents a better position than the JCPOA that existed before 2018 is a question the confirmed data does not answer for you. It gives you the information to answer it yourself.

WHY IT MATTERS TO YOU

The Strait of Hormuz reopening means global oil prices will fall. American households that absorbed higher gas prices and higher cost of goods during the closure will see relief. How much and how fast depends on how quickly global shipping normalizes.

The follow-on nuclear negotiations beginning in the coming weeks will determine whether the commitment Iran made tonight becomes a verified enforceable agreement or another starting point that dissolves under pressure. Ida will report confirmed developments as they occur.

13 American service members did not come home. More than 500 were wounded. Their families deserve a clear and honest accounting of what was achieved and what was not. That accounting will take longer than one news cycle to complete. Ida will keep reporting it.

A memorandum of understanding is a formal document stating what two parties have agreed to do in the short term while more detailed negotiations continue. It is serious and binding in diplomatic terms but it is a starting point not an endpoint.

Tonight's MOU ends active hostilities and opens the Strait of Hormuz. Those are immediate and significant. The nuclear question — what happens to Iran's 440.9 kilograms of enriched uranium, whether IAEA inspector access is restored, and what enrichment Iran will be permitted going forward — is addressed in the MOU only with a commitment to dilute the stockpile and a pledge not to enrich new uranium. The mechanism for doing so still needs to be worked out. Follow-on negotiations begin in the coming weeks. Those talks have no confirmed deadline.

The war was described by the Trump administration as necessary to address Iran's nuclear threat. The initial agreement ends the war. Whether the follow-on negotiations resolve that threat depends on what happens next.

---SOURCE NOTES---

AP confirmed June 14, 2026 deal reached, Strait opens, naval blockade ends, signing ceremony June 19 Switzerland.

CBS News confirmed June 14, 2026 immediate and permanent termination of military operations quote and Trump statement.

NBC News confirmed June 14, 2026 deal reached and Iranian state media broadcasting announcement.

PBS NewsHour confirmed June 14, 2026 AP report deal reached, key issues including nuclear program to be addressed later, 14 hours of talks in Tehran.

Times of Israel confirmed June 14, 2026 Iranian Deputy FM Gharibabadi confirmation and deal reportedly fails to achieve stated war goals.

Carnegie Endowment May 2026 confirmed war began while diplomacy was ongoing and nuclear question unresolved.

Reuters confirmed senior Iranian official terms including $25 billion frozen assets, no new enrichment, stockpile dilution.

CENTCOM confirmed 13 to 15 American KIA.

CRS Report IN12692 May 13, 2026 confirmed 42 aircraft lost and full breakdown.

Pentagon Comptroller Jules Hurst confirmed $29 billion cost May 12, 2026 congressional testimony.

Iranian Ministry of Health confirmed 3,468 killed in Iran.

IAEA confirmed zero access to Iranian nuclear facilities since February 28, 2026.

Responsible Statecraft confirmed diplomacy ongoing when war began.

CFR confirmed JCPOA terms and breakout time.

Arms Control Association confirmed Iran compliance under JCPOA and violations after U.S. withdrawal.